Friday, June 20, 2008

What's The Truth About Global Warming?

I happened recently upon the content of a speech, "Is Global Warming a Canard?", which one John Coleman gave to the San Diego Chamber of Commerce. The core of the speech was that carbon emissions from motor cars, aeroplanes, and all of those, have little or nothing to do with global warming.

Now, I wasn't initially going to waste my time reading what John Coleman said, because, well, he's just a TV weatherman, and what the hell does a TV weatherman know about global warming compared with Al Gore? But, somehow, I did read all of what John Coleman said, and I'm glad I did because what he said made sense. Well, to little me it did.

If you, too, would like to read what John Coleman said, click here.

The following extracts spoke to me:

"...........Here is what the Keeling curve shows: an increase in CO2 from 315 parts per million in 1958 to 385 parts per million today, an increase of 70 parts per million or about 20 percent.
And we humans; we create it. Every time we breathe out, we emit carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. It is not a pollutant. It is not smog. It is a naturally occurring invisible gas.........."

"............I estimate that this square in front of my face contains 100,000 molecules of atmosphere. Of those 100,000 only 38 are CO2; 38 out of a hundred thousand. That makes it a trace component. Let me ask a key question: how can this tiny trace upset the entire balance of the climate of Earth? It can’t. That’s all there is to it; it can’t..........".

"............Worldwide there was a significant natural warming trend in the 1980’s and 1990’s as a Solar cycle peaked with lots of sunspots and solar flares. That ended in 1998 and now the Sun has gone quiet with fewer and fewer Sun spots, and the global temperatures have gone into decline. Earth has cooled for almost ten straight years...........".

"............The scientists endorse each other’s papers, they are summarized and voted on, and voila, we are told global warming is going to kill us all unless we stop burning fossil fuels.
That ended in 1998 and now the Sun has gone quiet with fewer and fewer Sun spots, and the global temperatures have gone into decline. Earth has cooled for almost ten straight years. So, I ask Al Gore, where’s the global warming...........?"

"...........The cooling trend is so strong that recently the head of the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had to acknowledge it. He speculated that nature has temporarily overwhelmed mankind’s warming and it may be ten years or so before the warming returns............."

I'm no scientist, so I don't know who's right: John Coleman and his ilk, or Al Gore and his ilk. But I've been around long enough to be always suspicious of the Conventional Wisdom about anything.

Why masses of us, or groups of us, agree about anything is that we don't want to be the odd men (people) out by disagreeing, even if we suspect that what we agree about is nonsense. We like to be in with the in-crowd, because not being in with the in-crowd is lonely. So we suppress our doubts.

Only when we leave the in-crowd, either voluntarily or involuntarily, do we tell the truth of what the in-crowd said and did in the smoke-filled rooms behind the closed doors. The most recent example is Scott McClellan, who, when he was George Bush's paid liar, told his lies with insouciance and aplomb, but now that he's left, he's singing a very different tune.

The global warming crusade is a huge industry, and has assumed a life of its own because too many people have a vested interest that the crusade never ends, even if it's shown that the assumptions about global warming are wrong.

The careers and reputations of too many people depend on everyone believing the conventional wisdom about global warming. Too many globe-hopping conferences, banquets, eating and drinking, speeches, books, videos, depend on the conventional wisdom of global warming. Al Gore depends on global warming.

Regarding experts, Bertrand Russell said it best, when he said that whenever the experts are agreed on anything, the opposite of it cannot be held to be certain.